• jorcutt12

DFS PlayBook

It’s finally DFS season, so that means it’s time to take a look at the opening game (Chiefs@Texans) and the opening Sunday slate of games on draft kings. I am going to highlight some games to target, and players to target, although the players to target are subject to change as we are dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic.

When it comes to games to target, this one should jump off to everyone. Tampa Bay@ New Orleans. This game is being played in a dome, and in front of no fans. I know Tom Brady is an old man now, but I can see the combined score of this game going over 70 points. If you aren’t in on at least a piece of this game, I think you will regret it. The other 3 games I want to target are the Seahawks @ Falcons, Raiders @ Panthers, and Eagles @ Washington.

Players I feel like absolutely must be rostered are Michael Thomas or Chris Godwin. Thomas went off last season vs the Bucs, who have really struggled against the pass. The first time he faced the Bucs he had 11 receptions for 182 yards and 2 touchdowns. He followed that up with 8 receptions for 114 yards and a touchdown. In my mind, Thomas should be the player you start with when building your lineup. Chris Godwin could be a player you go with if you choose not to roster Thomas. Tom Brady loves to throw to the slot, and Godwin is definitely more athletic than Julian Edelman, so I can definitely see Godwin having 8+ receptions, 100+ yards, and at least a touchdown.

Looking at the Raiders@Panthers, Darren Waller is a solid option at Tight End, and Josh Jacobs is definitely on my radar to fill one of my running back positions. The Panthers defense is going to be a huge weak spot in my opinion, so I think Jacobs could have a big day. For the Panthers, plugging in Christian Mccaffrey is always an option, but other than that, I’m staying away from the Panthers. The Eagles@Washington offers some value on the Eagles side, whether you choose to roster Miles Sanders (Miles Sanders is currently dealing with a lower body injury that has been deemed not serious, and he is week to week) who has been hyped up a lot during training camp, Desean Jackson who had an amazing week 1 against Washington in 2019 but then suffered an injury, or Zach Ertz. I think this game is either going to go one of two ways, the Eagles are going to blow the Redskins out of the water, or this is going to be a tight low scoring game. If you think it’s going to be a big win for the Eagles, then I think it’s worth taking a look at Miles Sanders. If you think it’s a tight, contested game, then I think you need to look at Ertz or Jackson, since DraftKings is PPR, someone is going to have to catch passes to move the chains on this Eagles offense. The Eagles don’t have many pass catchers with a lot of experience on this team, so I think it’s reasonable that one of these 2 guys catch the majority of passes if the Eagles can’t run the ball.

The last and potentially most important game I am looking at is Seahawks@Falcons. Again, another game playing in a dome, with one of the teams known for airing it out. The Seahawks like to run the ball, but I think this is a game where they are going to have to pass. We all know Russell Wilson is great, and Matt Ryan typically starts the season off with a string of games where he averages 300+ passing yards along with multiple touchdowns. You can’t go wrong plugging either one of these QB’s in your lineup, and pairing them with any of their pass catchers (Julio Jones, D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Calvin Ridley, or Hayden Hurst).

For the Thursday night opening game, I can’t see a world where Kansas City doesn’t score at will. There is no one on the Texans who can stop this Chiefs offense, and the Texans now have more trouble answering back, due to losing Deandre Hopkins. I do think Brandon Cooks will have a solid year, and I think this could be a good game for him, but I can’t see the Texans pulling this one out, so for that reason I feel like I have to roster Mahomes and either Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelcee. I will say Clyde Edwards Helaire could end up having a monster game. Don’t forget, Kareem Hunt walked into Foxboro and blew the Patriots doors off a few years ago in his first game. This is definitely a possibility so differentiate your roster based on what you think will happen accordingly. On the Texans side of things, I can’t see rostering anyone that I really have to rely on other than Watson, Cooks, and maybe take a flyer on Will Fuller.

Taking a look at my Chiefs@Texans lineup, I have Deshaun Watson in my captain spot. You could easily put Patrick Mahomes here, but I think the Texans fall down early, and Watson is going to have a lot more passing attempts to try to get the Texans back in it. I’m following it up with Randall Cobb, Darren Fells, Travis Kelcee, Patrick Mahomes, and Darrel Williams. I’m hoping the chiefs mix Williams in enough to possibly score around 15 or 20 points since it’s C.E.H’s first game.

A lineup I feel good about for Sunday’s slate looks like this, Matt Ryan at QB, Josh Jacobs at RB1, Raheem Mostert at RB2, Julio Jones at WR1, D.K. Metcalf at WR2, and Chris Conley at WR3. Zach Ertz is manning my TE spot, Sony Michel is in the flex, and the Chargers are finishing out the lineup at defense. I wish I could have found a way to get Michael Thomas in here, but again this is just one of many lineups I feel good about.

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