Sunday Night Preview
Sunday Night Preview: Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints
Vegas Odds: Saints -3, O/U 52
It’s not often we get two first ballot Hall of Famers on SNF but here we are. Lucky us! Aaron Rodgers (Week 3 FantasyHolics consensus ranked QB #8) versus Drew Brees (QB 12) square off in what we hope will be a shootout. I think this game could be more of a defensive battle then we’d like, but nonetheless it should be an entertaining matchup. With both teams clear number one receivers banged up we might see some struggles out the gate, but I expect both QBs to be over 250 yards with multiple TDs. Rodgers has been on fire this year (6 TD/0 INT) and should remain lit against a Saints D that made Derek Carr look really good last Monday. Brees hasn’t looked great but I think his end of games statistics will be satisfactory for his owners.
Here come the beasts that win you your weeks. We have Alvin Kamara and Aaron Jones ranked #2 and #4 this week and show no signs of slowing down. Green Bay is 2-0 but getting gashed on D against the run, which bodes well for Kamara and his knack for finding the end zone. He’s scored multiple TDs in both games this year. Speaking of touchdowns, Jones is coming off of a 3 TD game last week, as well as scoring once in week 1. These guys are both on pace for top 5 seasons and are such luxuries to have due to their game script proof roles as essentially the teams #1 red zone option and #2 receiving target. Behind Kamara is the steady and deep league flex appealing Latavius Murray, who has a locked in role on a dangerous offense. He’s averaged 10 touches a week and will sneak in a score soon. The Pack rotate Jamaal Williams and rookie AJ Dillon, but neither is appealing against this stout run defense.
It’s a real shame the likely first two wideouts drafted in your league, Michael Thomas (out) and Davante Adams (doubtful), won’t be able to shine for this primetime matchup. But for every door that closes another opens. Those doors are open for Emmanuel Sanders, TreQuan Smith, Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. None of them cracked our rankings for the week but there’s still value to be had here. Smith was a target hog without Thomas and feels the safest bet, but Sanders should improve throughout the season while building chemistry with Brees and the new offense in general. For GB Lazard is a safer option in that he has the most snaps locked in and operates in the slot against the Saints worst cover corner in PJ Williams. To counter that MVS has produced more fantasy points on less snaps and remains the most likely to go off if ARod is able to connect on a few of his patented deep bombs. No other WRs are worthy of playing or even rostering at this point, although depending on how your league is set up Taysom Hill (QB/WR/TE?) gets more guaranteed touches than some team’s starting WRs. I’m looking at you Anthony Miller. Thanks for getting me that L last week!
Jared Cook has had a strong start to the year, surprisingly leading the team in receiving week 1 while snagging a red zone score in week 2. He’s worth of starting again in this contest, coming in #9 for the position for week 3. Much like last week this is a revenge game for him as well (if you’re superstitious or just kinda stitious like me). The Packers offense does not use their TE much in the passing game their current offense, and Rodgers hasn’t historically looked their way much regardless of who is calling the plays. The combinations of Robert Tonyan, Marcedes Lewis (can you believe he still plays???) and Jace Sternberger can all be disregarded. Behind Cook there’s Josh Hill as a seldom used target and rookie Adam Trautman, who caught his first career pass last week. If you have him in dynasty you’ve got a very interesting long term stash.