Sunday Night Preview
Sunday Night Preview:
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Vegas Odds: GB -9.5, O/U 44.5
Aaron Rodger is having one of his best career seasons, and if you have him on your fantasy squad you really hit the mid to late round lottery. His ridiculous 29 passing touchdowns is only one behind league leader Russell Wilson. He’s also throwing for a healthy 289 yards per game to go with 4 measly interceptions. This week’s difficult matchup against the swarming Bears defense might cool him off temporarily, however. They are currently a top 5 unit in fewest QB points allowed. He is our FantasyHolic’s expert ranked QB #10. The Chicago offense has been a nightmare the entire season regardless of who’s under center. Both Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky have struggled and also are battling injuries. Trubisky has been announced as the starter and will do his best to defend his undefeated 3-0 2020 record. Don’t use him for your team unless you are tanking. He is comfortably outside of our top 20 QBs.
Aaron Jones has been an absolute league winner as a second round pick. He is amazingly 3rd in PPR scoring at the RB position despite missing 2 games with injuries. Unfortunately the Bears have a top 8 defense against RBs. At this point Jones is impossible to bench and game script proof due to his passing game involvement, make him a comfortable starter for you. He is our RB #5 for the week. His backup Jamaal Williams has had some success this year as a complimentary player. If this were an easier matchup he could be a deep league flex, but in this game he is outside of our top 40. David Montgomery is back in the lineup and recovered from his recent concussion. He’s a decent player in a bad offense who has racked up mediocre stats (684 total yards, 30 catches, 2 TDs) despite having a workhorse role. The Packer defense is actually giving up the most RB points in PPR leagues, giving Monty a chance to make up for his lack of explosiveness and quality blockers. He is our volume dependent RB #23. Cordarrelle Patterson filled in admirably last week and is a mismatch in the passing game. He’s not a recommended play this week but may be usable as a Tarik Cohen Lite in the future in PPR format only.
Davante Adams has been simply unstoppable all Fall. He is the top scoring WR in fantasy despite missing 2 games. As mentioned the Chicago secondary and defense in general has been outstanding, but there’s no scenario out there that would suggest you should put Adams and his 10 TDs on your bench. He is still ranked as our WR #1 and should remain there long term. The rest of the receiving corps consists of Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Lazard missed half the season with injury and returned last week to put up just 18 yards. Expect him to expand his role every week though. MVS picked up an ominous mid week Achilles injury, putting a damper on his outlook. Neither is a no brainer start but also you could do worse as WR4s. The upside is definitely there. Chicago’s group is led by target hog Allen Robinson. His 63 catches are currently 11th in the NFL. The two things working against ARob are his lack of touchdowns (3) and poor chemistry with the inaccurate Trubisky. Against GB’s above average secondary he is our WR #9. His teammates Darnell Mooney and Anthony Miller are both downgraded with Foles out as well. Mitch is more likely to take off and run instead of take shots their way. The only positive spin is this game could get out of hand early and result in a high number of pass attempts.
Two productive yet frustrating tight ends take the field tonight. Both Robert Tonyan and Jimmy Graham have taken turns as the de facto #2 options in their respective passing games. Unfortunately despite these ideal opportunities neither has been very consistent week to week. Tonyan’s year to date stat line (32-391-6 TD) is slightly better than Graham’s (35-302-5 TD), which shows up in our rankings as well. Big Bob is our TE #17 and JG is TE #19. If Foles was under center we would respect Jimmy’s #RevengeGame status a little more, but the bottom line is Chicago’s already crapshoot offense is even more squirrelly with Mitchy Football at the helm.