Who has been the most consistent RB over the past three years?
Who has been the most consistent RBs in the past 3 years?
When talking consistency no RB has played all 16 games over the last three seasons. Alvin Kamara missed 4, Ezekiel Elliott missed 2, Derrick Henry missed 1 and Nick Chubb missed 4. Before 2020, Christian McCaffrey hadn’t missed a game (2017-2019). There have been 2 RBs that have finished as a Top 12 RB1 all three years. I’m going to look at total fantasy points scored and points per game. I’m going to find you those RBs that if you can get them on your roster, you can count on them to get the job done week in and week out.
The last three seasons the two RBs who finished in the Top 12 all three seasons were Alvin Kamara and Ezekiel Elliott. If you expand the research out to Top 17 you only add Derrick Henry and Nick Chubb. A lot of RBs finished Top 12 for two seasons but not 3 (Aaron Jones, Nick Chubb, Derrick Henry, Kareem Hunt, Dalvin Cook, and Saquon Barkley).
Kamara has finished as the #1 RB, #9 RB and the #4 RB from 2018-2020. He has averaged 326.67 points per season and 22.27 points per game. In 60% of his games played during this period he’s finished as a RB1 (Top 12). He’s played in 44 games in three years and scored over 20 points per game. He also has had 81 receptions two of those three seasons. He averages around 800 yards rushing and 800 yards receiving. Only missing 4 games in three seasons, he’s been consistent and reliable. I want to tell you to draft him as a Top 5 RB this season, but with a shaky QB situation, it’s going to be hard to trust Kamara. If Taysom Hill is the QB, it could be a run heavy offense, but if Jamesis Winston is the QB, he doesn’t have a history of checking down. He should be good as a Top 12 RB and maintain his consistency.
Zeke has earned the right to be called a Top 5 RB. He has finished as the #9 RB, #5 RB and the #3 from 2018-2020. He has averaged 288.20 points per season 18.80 points per game. Zeke was taken in the Top 5 last season and finished as Top 9. A lot of people saw this as a drop off but with a bad O-Line and backup QB, that is still good. Zeke should easily carry the ball more than 300 times and get you 50 receptions. Zeke is one of the safest players you can draft.
If you are looking for RBs that you can count on, these two are where it’s at. They show up to work everyday and they produce. They have consistently scored close to 300 points in a season and week in and week out over 18 points a week. Grab one of these RBs and know they will be there for you.
Three other RBs have looked good for two seasons but came up short to be consistent the past three.
Christian McCaffrey was Mr. Consistent until 2020 when he only played in three games. He’s been the #10 RB, #2 RB and the #1 RB from 2017-2019. You can’t do better than 361.8 points per season and 22.61 points per game. He’s also finished as an RB1 60% of the time over those three seasons, including being an RB1 in 14 of 16 games in 2019. CMC scored over 20 points 32 times (68%); more than 15 points 37 times (79%); double digits 46 times (99%). He had never missed a game. You should expect him to get 250 carries and over 100 receptions and be at or near the top of the RB mountain. Three things might hold him back, injuries again, a change in coaches and a bad-offensive line.
In three seasons from 2018-2020, he finished as RB#16, RB#5 and RB#3. He averaged 276.33 Fantasy Points Per Season and 17.63 Points Per Game. He’s also only missed one game during that span. He’s been as solid as they have come over the past three seasons.
In three season from 2018-2020, he finished as RB#17, RB#8 and RB#11. He averaged 219.13 Fantasy Points Per Season and 14.94 Points Per Game. He did miss 4 games last season but didn’t miss any in 2019 or 2018. He continues to be a solid RB on a Top Offense.
I think any of these RBs will be solid RB1s in fantasy this season. Take them in the first round and build the foundation of a solid fantasy team.